Mercury General (MCY) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for MCY — the calendar windows where Mercury General has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
MCY seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, MCY's strongest seasonal window has been Mar 22 – Apr 1: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +3.50% across a 10-day hold. On the weak side, MCY has historically declined between Sep 28 – Oct 8, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -1.19%).
In total, our analysis finds 574 recurring seasonal windows for Mercury General — 391 bullish and 183 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Aug 4 – Aug 14, opens in 8 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
MCY's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 53d ago | May 5 – Jun 4 | 30d | +2.62% | 80% | +0.10% |
| Completedended 54d ago | May 4 – Jun 3 | 30d | +2.42% | 80% | +1.31% |
| Upcomingin 8d | Aug 4 – Aug 14 | 10d | +1.01% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 24d | Aug 20 – Aug 30 | 10d | +1.77% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 63d | Sep 28 – Oct 8 | 10d | -1.19% | 90% | — |
| Upcomingin 82d | Oct 17 – Nov 6 | 20d | +6.00% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 83d | Oct 18 – Nov 7 | 20d | +5.94% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore MCY seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
MCY seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy MCY stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, MCY's strongest seasonal window starts in March: Mar 22 to Apr 1, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +3.50%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is MCY's strongest seasonal pattern?
MCY's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Mar 22 – Apr 1 window (10-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +3.50%.
When has MCY historically performed worst?
MCY's weakest recurring window has been Sep 28 to Oct 8, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -1.19%.
How reliable are MCY's seasonal patterns?
Each MCY pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. MCY currently shows 574 recurring windows (391 bullish, 183 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is MCY stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Mercury General's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where MCY has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.