Medtronic (MDT) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for MDT — the calendar windows where Medtronic has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
MDT seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, MDT's strongest seasonal window has been Dec 24 – Jan 23: it ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +4.28% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, MDT has historically declined between Mar 3 – Mar 23, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -4.52%).
In total, our analysis finds 592 recurring seasonal windows for Medtronic — 383 bullish and 209 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Sep 14 – Oct 4, opens in 3 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
MDT's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 8d ago | Aug 24 – Sep 3 | 10d | +1.08% | 80% | +0.22% |
| Completedended 20d ago | Jul 23 – Aug 22 | 30d | +2.16% | 80% | +13.83% |
| Active30d left | Sep 11 – Oct 11 | 30d | -2.55% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 3d | Sep 14 – Oct 4 | 20d | -1.82% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 8d | Sep 19 – Sep 29 | 10d | -2.23% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 12d | Sep 23 – Oct 3 | 10d | -1.13% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 23d | Oct 4 – Oct 14 | 10d | -1.09% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore MDT seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
MDT seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy MDT stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, MDT's strongest seasonal window starts in December: Dec 24 to Jan 23, which ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +4.28%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is MDT's strongest seasonal pattern?
MDT's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Dec 24 – Jan 23 window (30-day hold): up in 9 of the last 10 years with an average move of +4.28%.
When has MDT historically performed worst?
MDT's weakest recurring window has been Mar 3 to Mar 23, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -4.52%.
How reliable are MDT's seasonal patterns?
Each MDT pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. MDT currently shows 592 recurring windows (383 bullish, 209 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is MDT stock seasonality?
Seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Medtronic's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where MDT has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.