MarketAxess (MKTX) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for MKTX — the calendar windows where MarketAxess has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
MKTX seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, MKTX's strongest seasonal window has been Jun 29 – Jul 29: it ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +3.87% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, MKTX has historically declined between Sep 2 – Oct 2, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -7.07%).
In total, our analysis finds 684 recurring seasonal windows for MarketAxess — 476 bullish and 208 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Aug 11 – Aug 31, opens in 15 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
MKTX's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 25d ago | Jun 22 – Jul 2 | 10d | -1.10% | 80% | -0.50% |
| Completedended 31d ago | Jun 16 – Jun 26 | 10d | -1.65% | 80% | -9.83% |
| Upcomingin 15d | Aug 11 – Aug 31 | 20d | +1.63% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 15d | Aug 11 – Sep 10 | 30d | -1.63% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 16d | Aug 12 – Aug 22 | 10d | +1.98% | 90% | — |
| Upcomingin 17d | Aug 13 – Aug 23 | 10d | +1.18% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 17d | Aug 13 – Sep 12 | 30d | -2.43% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore MKTX seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
MKTX seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy MKTX stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, MKTX's strongest seasonal window starts in June: Jun 29 to Jul 29, which ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +3.87%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is MKTX's strongest seasonal pattern?
MKTX's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Jun 29 – Jul 29 window (30-day hold): up in 9 of the last 10 years with an average move of +3.87%.
When has MKTX historically performed worst?
MKTX's weakest recurring window has been Sep 2 to Oct 2, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -7.07%.
How reliable are MKTX's seasonal patterns?
Each MKTX pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. MKTX currently shows 684 recurring windows (476 bullish, 208 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is MKTX stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing MarketAxess's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where MKTX has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.