VanEck Morningstar Wide Moat ETF (MOAT) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for MOAT — the calendar windows where VanEck Morningstar Wide Moat ETF has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
MOAT seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, MOAT's strongest seasonal window has been Jun 28 – Jul 28: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +4.86% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, MOAT has historically declined between Sep 15 – Sep 25, falling in 8 of 10 years (average -1.43%).
In total, our analysis finds 561 recurring seasonal windows for VanEck Morningstar Wide Moat ETF — 465 bullish and 96 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Aug 10 – Aug 30, opens in 14 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
MOAT's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 3d ago | Jun 24 – Jul 24 | 30d | +3.55% | 100% | +1.75% |
| Completedended 4d ago | Jun 23 – Jul 23 | 30d | +3.28% | 100% | +2.82% |
| Upcomingin 14d | Aug 10 – Aug 30 | 20d | +1.12% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 15d | Aug 11 – Aug 31 | 20d | +1.07% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 50d | Sep 15 – Sep 25 | 10d | -1.43% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 62d | Sep 27 – Oct 17 | 20d | +1.23% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 75d | Oct 10 – Nov 9 | 30d | +2.00% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore MOAT seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
MOAT seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy MOAT stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, MOAT's strongest seasonal window starts in June: Jun 28 to Jul 28, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +4.86%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is MOAT's strongest seasonal pattern?
MOAT's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Jun 28 – Jul 28 window (30-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +4.86%.
When has MOAT historically performed worst?
MOAT's weakest recurring window has been Sep 15 to Sep 25, declining in 8 of 10 years with an average return of -1.43%.
How reliable are MOAT's seasonal patterns?
Each MOAT pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. MOAT currently shows 561 recurring windows (465 bullish, 96 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is MOAT stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing VanEck Morningstar Wide Moat ETF's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where MOAT has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.