MP Materials (MP) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for MP — the calendar windows where MP Materials has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 6 years of price history. MP Materials has less than 10 years of trading history, so these patterns use all 6 available years.
MP seasonality at a glance
Over the last 6 years, MP's strongest seasonal window has been Nov 3 – Dec 3: it ended higher in 6 of 6 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +26.55% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, MP has historically declined between Apr 13 – May 13, falling in 5 of 5 years (average -19.02%).
In total, our analysis finds 948 recurring seasonal windows for MP Materials — 678 bullish and 270 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Aug 1 – Aug 11, opens in 5 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
MP's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 49d ago | May 19 – Jun 8 | 20d | +7.71% | 80% | +4.82% |
| Completedended 50d ago | May 18 – Jun 7 | 20d | +7.04% | 80% | +4.43% |
| Upcomingin 5d | Aug 1 – Aug 11 | 10d | +3.19% | 83% | — |
| Upcomingin 6d | Aug 2 – Aug 12 | 10d | +5.93% | 83% | — |
| Upcomingin 7d | Aug 3 – Aug 13 | 10d | +6.31% | 83% | — |
| Upcomingin 8d | Aug 4 – Aug 14 | 10d | +5.90% | 83% | — |
| Upcomingin 14d | Aug 10 – Aug 20 | 10d | -5.87% | 83% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore MP seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
MP seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy MP stock?
Based on the last 6 years of price data, MP's strongest seasonal window starts in November: Nov 3 to Dec 3, which ended higher in 6 of 6 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +26.55%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is MP's strongest seasonal pattern?
MP's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Nov 3 – Dec 3 window (30-day hold): up in 6 of the last 6 years with an average move of +26.55%.
When has MP historically performed worst?
MP's weakest recurring window has been Apr 13 to May 13, declining in 5 of 5 years with an average return of -19.02%.
How reliable are MP's seasonal patterns?
Each MP pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 6 years it repeated in the same direction. MP currently shows 948 recurring windows (678 bullish, 270 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is MP stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing MP Materials's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where MP has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.