Merck KGaA (MRK.DE) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for MRK.DE — the calendar windows where Merck KGaA has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
MRK.DE seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, MRK.DE's strongest seasonal window has been Jun 29 – Jul 29: it ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +4.95% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, MRK.DE has historically declined between Feb 26 – Mar 8, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -2.71%).
In total, our analysis finds 587 recurring seasonal windows for Merck KGaA — 387 bullish and 200 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Jul 31 – Aug 10, opens in 4 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
MRK.DE's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 4d ago | Jun 23 – Jul 23 | 30d | +3.61% | 80% | +3.15% |
| Completedended 38d ago | Jun 9 – Jun 19 | 10d | -3.18% | 80% | -3.80% |
| Upcomingin 4d | Jul 31 – Aug 10 | 10d | +1.71% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 5d | Aug 1 – Aug 11 | 10d | +1.85% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 6d | Aug 2 – Aug 12 | 10d | +2.69% | 90% | — |
| Upcomingin 8d | Aug 4 – Aug 14 | 10d | +1.83% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 11d | Aug 7 – Aug 27 | 20d | +1.42% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore MRK.DE seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
MRK.DE seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy MRK.DE stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, MRK.DE's strongest seasonal window starts in June: Jun 29 to Jul 29, which ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +4.95%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is MRK.DE's strongest seasonal pattern?
MRK.DE's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Jun 29 – Jul 29 window (30-day hold): up in 9 of the last 10 years with an average move of +4.95%.
When has MRK.DE historically performed worst?
MRK.DE's weakest recurring window has been Feb 26 to Mar 8, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -2.71%.
How reliable are MRK.DE's seasonal patterns?
Each MRK.DE pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. MRK.DE currently shows 587 recurring windows (387 bullish, 200 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is MRK.DE stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Merck KGaA's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where MRK.DE has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.