MSC Industrial Direct (MSM) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for MSM — the calendar windows where MSC Industrial Direct has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
MSM seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, MSM's strongest seasonal window has been Oct 27 – Nov 16: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +9.10% across a 20-day hold. On the weak side, MSM has historically declined between May 27 – Jun 26, falling in 8 of 10 years (average -3.83%).
In total, our analysis finds 591 recurring seasonal windows for MSC Industrial Direct — 383 bullish and 208 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Aug 19 – Sep 8, opens in 23 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
MSM's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 33d ago | Jun 4 – Jun 24 | 20d | -3.30% | 80% | -0.37% |
| Completedended 48d ago | May 30 – Jun 9 | 10d | +1.06% | 80% | +6.73% |
| Upcomingin 23d | Aug 19 – Sep 8 | 20d | -1.30% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 45d | Sep 10 – Sep 30 | 20d | +1.69% | 90% | — |
| Upcomingin 52d | Sep 17 – Oct 17 | 30d | +2.61% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 55d | Sep 20 – Oct 20 | 30d | +1.55% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 56d | Sep 21 – Oct 1 | 10d | +1.07% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore MSM seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
MSM seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy MSM stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, MSM's strongest seasonal window starts in October: Oct 27 to Nov 16, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +9.10%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is MSM's strongest seasonal pattern?
MSM's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Oct 27 – Nov 16 window (20-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +9.10%.
When has MSM historically performed worst?
MSM's weakest recurring window has been May 27 to Jun 26, declining in 8 of 10 years with an average return of -3.83%.
How reliable are MSM's seasonal patterns?
Each MSM pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. MSM currently shows 591 recurring windows (383 bullish, 208 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is MSM stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing MSC Industrial Direct's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where MSM has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.