Match Group (MTCH) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for MTCH — the calendar windows where Match Group has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
MTCH seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, MTCH's strongest seasonal window has been May 8 – Jun 7: it ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +9.74% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, MTCH has historically declined between Feb 22 – Mar 4, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -4.08%).
In total, our analysis finds 837 recurring seasonal windows for Match Group — 569 bullish and 268 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Jul 30 – Aug 9, opens in 3 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
MTCH's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 5d ago | Jun 22 – Jul 22 | 30d | +4.79% | 80% | +8.49% |
| Completedended 6d ago | Jul 1 – Jul 21 | 20d | +3.87% | 80% | +1.85% |
| Upcomingin 3d | Jul 30 – Aug 9 | 10d | +5.85% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 6d | Aug 2 – Sep 1 | 30d | +4.80% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 7d | Aug 3 – Sep 2 | 30d | +6.49% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 8d | Aug 4 – Aug 14 | 10d | +5.19% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 8d | Aug 4 – Sep 3 | 30d | +6.63% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore MTCH seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
MTCH seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy MTCH stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, MTCH's strongest seasonal window starts in May: May 8 to Jun 7, which ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +9.74%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is MTCH's strongest seasonal pattern?
MTCH's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the May 8 – Jun 7 window (30-day hold): up in 9 of the last 10 years with an average move of +9.74%.
When has MTCH historically performed worst?
MTCH's weakest recurring window has been Feb 22 to Mar 4, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -4.08%.
How reliable are MTCH's seasonal patterns?
Each MTCH pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. MTCH currently shows 837 recurring windows (569 bullish, 268 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is MTCH stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Match Group's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where MTCH has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.