MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for MTG — the calendar windows where MGIC Investment Corporation has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
MTG seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, MTG's strongest seasonal window has been May 8 – Jun 7: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +6.57% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, MTG has historically declined between Feb 15 – Feb 25, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -1.98%).
In total, our analysis finds 751 recurring seasonal windows for MGIC Investment Corporation — 555 bullish and 196 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Sep 17 – Oct 17, opens in 6 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
MTG's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 2d ago | Aug 20 – Sep 9 | 20d | +2.04% | 80% | +0.52% |
| Completedended 9d ago | Aug 13 – Sep 2 | 20d | +3.08% | 80% | +0.65% |
| Upcomingin 6d | Sep 17 – Oct 17 | 30d | +2.85% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 26d | Oct 7 – Nov 6 | 30d | +3.31% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 30d | Oct 11 – Nov 10 | 30d | +4.98% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 31d | Oct 12 – Nov 11 | 30d | +4.74% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 32d | Oct 13 – Nov 2 | 20d | +1.54% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore MTG seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
MTG seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy MTG stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, MTG's strongest seasonal window starts in May: May 8 to Jun 7, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +6.57%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is MTG's strongest seasonal pattern?
MTG's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the May 8 – Jun 7 window (30-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +6.57%.
When has MTG historically performed worst?
MTG's weakest recurring window has been Feb 15 to Feb 25, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -1.98%.
How reliable are MTG's seasonal patterns?
Each MTG pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. MTG currently shows 751 recurring windows (555 bullish, 196 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is MTG stock seasonality?
Seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing MGIC Investment Corporation's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where MTG has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.