Meritage Homes Corporation (MTH) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for MTH — the calendar windows where Meritage Homes Corporation has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
MTH seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, MTH's strongest seasonal window has been Jun 23 – Jul 23: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +9.45% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, MTH has historically declined between Jun 9 – Jun 19, falling in 8 of 10 years (average -4.66%).
In total, our analysis finds 781 recurring seasonal windows for Meritage Homes Corporation — 472 bullish and 309 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Oct 4 – Oct 14, opens in 23 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
MTH's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 35d ago | Jul 8 – Aug 7 | 30d | +7.91% | 80% | +0.01% |
| Completedended 56d ago | Jun 17 – Jul 17 | 30d | +9.15% | 90% | +2.37% |
| Upcomingin 23d | Oct 4 – Oct 14 | 10d | -2.58% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 45d | Oct 26 – Nov 25 | 30d | +7.46% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 46d | Oct 27 – Nov 26 | 30d | +8.07% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 47d | Oct 28 – Nov 27 | 30d | +7.25% | 90% | — |
| Upcomingin 48d | Oct 29 – Nov 28 | 30d | +9.41% | 90% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore MTH seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
MTH seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy MTH stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, MTH's strongest seasonal window starts in June: Jun 23 to Jul 23, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +9.45%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is MTH's strongest seasonal pattern?
MTH's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Jun 23 – Jul 23 window (30-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +9.45%.
When has MTH historically performed worst?
MTH's weakest recurring window has been Jun 9 to Jun 19, declining in 8 of 10 years with an average return of -4.66%.
How reliable are MTH's seasonal patterns?
Each MTH pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. MTH currently shows 781 recurring windows (472 bullish, 309 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is MTH stock seasonality?
Seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Meritage Homes Corporation's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where MTH has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.