Murphy USA (MUSA) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for MUSA — the calendar windows where Murphy USA has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
MUSA seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, MUSA's strongest seasonal window has been Jun 28 – Jul 28: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +8.37% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, MUSA has historically declined between Aug 20 – Sep 9, falling in 10 of 10 years (average -2.21%).
In total, our analysis finds 675 recurring seasonal windows for Murphy USA — 538 bullish and 137 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Jul 29 – Aug 8, opens in 2 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
MUSA's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 3d ago | Jul 4 – Jul 24 | 20d | +6.48% | 90% | +11.06% |
| Completedended 3d ago | Jun 24 – Jul 24 | 30d | +6.18% | 90% | +17.26% |
| Upcomingin 2d | Jul 29 – Aug 8 | 10d | +1.44% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 4d | Jul 31 – Aug 10 | 10d | +1.49% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 4d | Jul 31 – Aug 20 | 20d | +2.76% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 5d | Aug 1 – Aug 11 | 10d | +1.95% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 6d | Aug 2 – Aug 12 | 10d | +2.26% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore MUSA seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
MUSA seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy MUSA stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, MUSA's strongest seasonal window starts in June: Jun 28 to Jul 28, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +8.37%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is MUSA's strongest seasonal pattern?
MUSA's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Jun 28 – Jul 28 window (30-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +8.37%.
When has MUSA historically performed worst?
MUSA's weakest recurring window has been Aug 20 to Sep 9, declining in 10 of 10 years with an average return of -2.21%.
How reliable are MUSA's seasonal patterns?
Each MUSA pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. MUSA currently shows 675 recurring windows (538 bullish, 137 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is MUSA stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Murphy USA's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where MUSA has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.