Methanex (MX.TO) Seasonality

Recurring seasonal patterns for MX.TO — the calendar windows where Methanex has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.

Patterns found
773
Upcoming this year
126
Bullish windows
496
Best win rate
100%

MX.TO seasonality at a glance

Over the last 10 years, MX.TO's strongest seasonal window has been Sep 8 – Oct 8: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +9.68% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, MX.TO has historically declined between Jun 11 – Jul 11, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -5.69%).

In total, our analysis finds 773 recurring seasonal windows for Methanex496 bullish and 277 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Jul 30 – Aug 29, opens in 3 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.

MX.TO's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns

Holding period:10-day20-day30-day

Ordered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.

StatusSeasonal windowHoldAvg returnWin rateThis year
Completedended 6d agoJul 11 – Jul 2110d+1.59%80%+12.90%
Completedended 6d agoJul 1 – Jul 2120d+1.89%80%+18.65%
Upcomingin 3dJul 30 – Aug 2930d+3.99%80%
Upcomingin 6dAug 2 – Sep 130d+7.47%90%
Upcomingin 7dAug 3 – Sep 230d+8.14%90%
Upcomingin 8dAug 4 – Sep 330d+6.33%80%
Upcomingin 9dAug 5 – Sep 430d+5.82%80%

Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Explore MX.TO seasonality in full

See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.

MX.TO seasonality FAQ

What has historically been the best month to buy MX.TO stock?

Based on the last 10 years of price data, MX.TO's strongest seasonal window starts in September: Sep 8 to Oct 8, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +9.68%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.

What is MX.TO's strongest seasonal pattern?

MX.TO's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Sep 8 – Oct 8 window (30-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +9.68%.

When has MX.TO historically performed worst?

MX.TO's weakest recurring window has been Jun 11 to Jul 11, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -5.69%.

How reliable are MX.TO's seasonal patterns?

Each MX.TO pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. MX.TO currently shows 773 recurring windows (496 bullish, 277 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.

What is MX.TO stock seasonality?

Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Methanex's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where MX.TO has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.

Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.

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