National Bank of Canada (NA.TO) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for NA.TO — the calendar windows where National Bank of Canada has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
NA.TO seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, NA.TO's strongest seasonal window has been Oct 24 – Nov 23: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +4.78% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, NA.TO has historically declined between Feb 21 – Mar 23, falling in 7 of 10 years (average -3.02%).
In total, our analysis finds 653 recurring seasonal windows for National Bank of Canada — 582 bullish and 71 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Aug 3 – Aug 13, opens in 7 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
NA.TO's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 3d ago | Jul 4 – Jul 24 | 20d | +1.95% | 100% | +1.28% |
| Completedended 3d ago | Jun 24 – Jul 24 | 30d | +3.92% | 90% | +1.58% |
| Upcomingin 7d | Aug 3 – Aug 13 | 10d | +1.74% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 8d | Aug 4 – Aug 14 | 10d | +1.73% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 10d | Aug 6 – Aug 16 | 10d | +1.68% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 10d | Aug 6 – Sep 5 | 30d | +2.34% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 14d | Aug 10 – Sep 9 | 30d | +1.76% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore NA.TO seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
NA.TO seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy NA.TO stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, NA.TO's strongest seasonal window starts in October: Oct 24 to Nov 23, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +4.78%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is NA.TO's strongest seasonal pattern?
NA.TO's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Oct 24 – Nov 23 window (30-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +4.78%.
When has NA.TO historically performed worst?
NA.TO's weakest recurring window has been Feb 21 to Mar 23, declining in 7 of 10 years with an average return of -3.02%.
How reliable are NA.TO's seasonal patterns?
Each NA.TO pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. NA.TO currently shows 653 recurring windows (582 bullish, 71 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is NA.TO stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing National Bank of Canada's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where NA.TO has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.