National Australia Bank (NAB.AX) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for NAB.AX — the calendar windows where National Australia Bank has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
NAB.AX seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, NAB.AX's strongest seasonal window has been Jun 15 – Jul 15: it ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +3.29% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, NAB.AX has historically declined between Mar 9 – Apr 8, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -4.30%).
In total, our analysis finds 603 recurring seasonal windows for National Australia Bank — 486 bullish and 117 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Aug 1 – Aug 31, opens in 5 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
NAB.AX's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 7d ago | Jun 20 – Jul 20 | 30d | +2.40% | 80% | +5.17% |
| Completedended 8d ago | Jul 9 – Jul 19 | 10d | +2.73% | 80% | +1.45% |
| Upcomingin 5d | Aug 1 – Aug 31 | 30d | +2.12% | 90% | — |
| Upcomingin 7d | Aug 3 – Aug 23 | 20d | +2.33% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 7d | Aug 3 – Sep 2 | 30d | +3.76% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 8d | Aug 4 – Sep 3 | 30d | +3.69% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 9d | Aug 5 – Aug 15 | 10d | +2.58% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore NAB.AX seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
NAB.AX seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy NAB.AX stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, NAB.AX's strongest seasonal window starts in June: Jun 15 to Jul 15, which ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +3.29%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is NAB.AX's strongest seasonal pattern?
NAB.AX's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Jun 15 – Jul 15 window (30-day hold): up in 9 of the last 10 years with an average move of +3.29%.
When has NAB.AX historically performed worst?
NAB.AX's weakest recurring window has been Mar 9 to Apr 8, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -4.30%.
How reliable are NAB.AX's seasonal patterns?
Each NAB.AX pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. NAB.AX currently shows 603 recurring windows (486 bullish, 117 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is NAB.AX stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing National Australia Bank's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where NAB.AX has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.