Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (NCLH) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for NCLH — the calendar windows where Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
NCLH seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, NCLH's strongest seasonal window has been Aug 19 – Sep 18: it ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +6.83% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, NCLH has historically declined between Feb 26 – Mar 8, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -7.47%).
In total, our analysis finds 797 recurring seasonal windows for Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings — 461 bullish and 336 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Aug 1 – Aug 31, opens in 5 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
NCLH's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 55d ago | May 23 – Jun 2 | 10d | +6.64% | 80% | +11.23% |
| Completedended 68d ago | Apr 30 – May 20 | 20d | -5.70% | 80% | -11.83% |
| Upcomingin 5d | Aug 1 – Aug 31 | 30d | +3.44% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 6d | Aug 2 – Aug 22 | 20d | +2.07% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 6d | Aug 2 – Sep 1 | 30d | +4.98% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 7d | Aug 3 – Sep 2 | 30d | +5.00% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 11d | Aug 7 – Aug 27 | 20d | +3.85% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore NCLH seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
NCLH seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy NCLH stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, NCLH's strongest seasonal window starts in August: Aug 19 to Sep 18, which ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +6.83%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is NCLH's strongest seasonal pattern?
NCLH's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Aug 19 – Sep 18 window (30-day hold): up in 9 of the last 10 years with an average move of +6.83%.
When has NCLH historically performed worst?
NCLH's weakest recurring window has been Feb 26 to Mar 8, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -7.47%.
How reliable are NCLH's seasonal patterns?
Each NCLH pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. NCLH currently shows 797 recurring windows (461 bullish, 336 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is NCLH stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where NCLH has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.