Netflix (NFLX) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for NFLX — the calendar windows where Netflix has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
NFLX seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, NFLX's strongest seasonal window has been Aug 23 – Sep 2: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +3.92% across a 10-day hold. On the weak side, NFLX has historically declined between Jul 10 – Jul 30, falling in 8 of 10 years (average -3.10%).
In total, our analysis finds 786 recurring seasonal windows for Netflix — 625 bullish and 161 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Aug 2 – Sep 1, opens in 6 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
NFLX's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 3d ago | Jul 14 – Jul 24 | 10d | -1.99% | 80% | -6.31% |
| Completedended 4d ago | Jul 13 – Jul 23 | 10d | -1.81% | 80% | -6.69% |
| Upcomingin 6d | Aug 2 – Sep 1 | 30d | +5.13% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 12d | Aug 8 – Sep 7 | 30d | +2.51% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 14d | Aug 10 – Sep 9 | 30d | +3.19% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 15d | Aug 11 – Sep 10 | 30d | +2.72% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 17d | Aug 13 – Sep 2 | 20d | +3.75% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore NFLX seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
NFLX seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy NFLX stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, NFLX's strongest seasonal window starts in August: Aug 23 to Sep 2, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +3.92%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is NFLX's strongest seasonal pattern?
NFLX's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Aug 23 – Sep 2 window (10-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +3.92%.
When has NFLX historically performed worst?
NFLX's weakest recurring window has been Jul 10 to Jul 30, declining in 8 of 10 years with an average return of -3.10%.
How reliable are NFLX's seasonal patterns?
Each NFLX pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. NFLX currently shows 786 recurring windows (625 bullish, 161 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is NFLX stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Netflix's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where NFLX has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.