Nike, Inc. (NKE) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for NKE — the calendar windows where Nike, Inc. has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
NKE seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, NKE's strongest seasonal window has been Nov 14 – Dec 4: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +4.48% across a 20-day hold. On the weak side, NKE has historically declined between Feb 18 – Mar 10, falling in 10 of 10 years (average -4.45%).
In total, our analysis finds 676 recurring seasonal windows for Nike, Inc. — 393 bullish and 283 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Aug 2 – Aug 12, opens in 6 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
NKE's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 9d ago | Jun 28 – Jul 18 | 20d | +3.03% | 80% | +7.39% |
| Completedended 19d ago | Jun 28 – Jul 8 | 10d | +3.55% | 80% | +5.25% |
| Active20d left | Jul 27 – Aug 16 | 20d | +3.67% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 6d | Aug 2 – Aug 12 | 10d | +1.92% | 90% | — |
| Upcomingin 7d | Aug 3 – Aug 13 | 10d | +2.48% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 24d | Aug 20 – Sep 9 | 20d | -1.36% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 25d | Aug 21 – Sep 10 | 20d | -1.62% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore NKE seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
NKE seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy NKE stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, NKE's strongest seasonal window starts in November: Nov 14 to Dec 4, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +4.48%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is NKE's strongest seasonal pattern?
NKE's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Nov 14 – Dec 4 window (20-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +4.48%.
When has NKE historically performed worst?
NKE's weakest recurring window has been Feb 18 to Mar 10, declining in 10 of 10 years with an average return of -4.45%.
How reliable are NKE's seasonal patterns?
Each NKE pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. NKE currently shows 676 recurring windows (393 bullish, 283 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is NKE stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Nike, Inc.'s price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where NKE has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.