NMI Holdings, Inc. (NMIH) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for NMIH — the calendar windows where NMI Holdings, Inc. has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
NMIH seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, NMIH's strongest seasonal window has been Jul 24 – Aug 23: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +9.57% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, NMIH has historically declined between Jun 7 – Jun 17, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -3.99%).
In total, our analysis finds 850 recurring seasonal windows for NMI Holdings, Inc. — 638 bullish and 212 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Sep 27 – Oct 17, opens in 16 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
NMIH's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 11d ago | Aug 1 – Aug 31 | 30d | +7.60% | 90% | +0.11% |
| Completedended 12d ago | Jul 31 – Aug 30 | 30d | +7.38% | 90% | +1.15% |
| Upcomingin 16d | Sep 27 – Oct 17 | 20d | +5.04% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 29d | Oct 10 – Nov 9 | 30d | +5.90% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 30d | Oct 11 – Nov 10 | 30d | +6.73% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 31d | Oct 12 – Nov 11 | 30d | +5.39% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 32d | Oct 13 – Nov 2 | 20d | +4.04% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore NMIH seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
NMIH seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy NMIH stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, NMIH's strongest seasonal window starts in July: Jul 24 to Aug 23, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +9.57%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is NMIH's strongest seasonal pattern?
NMIH's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Jul 24 – Aug 23 window (30-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +9.57%.
When has NMIH historically performed worst?
NMIH's weakest recurring window has been Jun 7 to Jun 17, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -3.99%.
How reliable are NMIH's seasonal patterns?
Each NMIH pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. NMIH currently shows 850 recurring windows (638 bullish, 212 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is NMIH stock seasonality?
Seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing NMI Holdings, Inc.'s price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where NMIH has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.