Novartis (NOVN.SW) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for NOVN.SW — the calendar windows where Novartis has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
NOVN.SW seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, NOVN.SW's strongest seasonal window has been Jun 14 – Jul 4: it ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +2.16% across a 20-day hold. On the weak side, NOVN.SW has historically declined between Oct 19 – Oct 29, falling in 8 of 10 years (average -2.57%).
In total, our analysis finds 465 recurring seasonal windows for Novartis — 362 bullish and 103 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Jul 28 – Aug 7, opens tomorrow. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
NOVN.SW's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 21d ago | Jun 16 – Jul 6 | 20d | +1.35% | 80% | +4.51% |
| Completedended 23d ago | Jun 14 – Jul 4 | 20d | +2.16% | 90% | +4.78% |
| Active10d left | Jul 27 – Aug 6 | 10d | -1.35% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingtomorrow | Jul 28 – Aug 7 | 10d | -1.09% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 15d | Aug 11 – Aug 21 | 10d | +1.33% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 25d | Aug 21 – Sep 10 | 20d | -1.77% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 28d | Aug 24 – Sep 13 | 20d | -1.01% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore NOVN.SW seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
NOVN.SW seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy NOVN.SW stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, NOVN.SW's strongest seasonal window starts in June: Jun 14 to Jul 4, which ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +2.16%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is NOVN.SW's strongest seasonal pattern?
NOVN.SW's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Jun 14 – Jul 4 window (20-day hold): up in 9 of the last 10 years with an average move of +2.16%.
When has NOVN.SW historically performed worst?
NOVN.SW's weakest recurring window has been Oct 19 to Oct 29, declining in 8 of 10 years with an average return of -2.57%.
How reliable are NOVN.SW's seasonal patterns?
Each NOVN.SW pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. NOVN.SW currently shows 465 recurring windows (362 bullish, 103 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is NOVN.SW stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Novartis's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where NOVN.SW has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.