Northern Trust (NTRS) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for NTRS — the calendar windows where Northern Trust has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
NTRS seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, NTRS's strongest seasonal window has been Oct 17 – Nov 16: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +6.92% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, NTRS has historically declined between Jan 17 – Jan 27, falling in 8 of 10 years (average -3.98%).
In total, our analysis finds 606 recurring seasonal windows for Northern Trust — 425 bullish and 181 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Sep 21 – Oct 1, opens in 10 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
NTRS's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 9d ago | Aug 23 – Sep 2 | 10d | +1.19% | 80% | +0.04% |
| Completedended 41d ago | Jul 22 – Aug 1 | 10d | +1.27% | 90% | +1.98% |
| Upcomingin 10d | Sep 21 – Oct 1 | 10d | -1.62% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 30d | Oct 11 – Nov 10 | 30d | +6.92% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 31d | Oct 12 – Nov 11 | 30d | +7.60% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 32d | Oct 13 – Nov 12 | 30d | +7.28% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 35d | Oct 16 – Nov 5 | 20d | +2.16% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore NTRS seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
NTRS seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy NTRS stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, NTRS's strongest seasonal window starts in October: Oct 17 to Nov 16, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +6.92%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is NTRS's strongest seasonal pattern?
NTRS's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Oct 17 – Nov 16 window (30-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +6.92%.
When has NTRS historically performed worst?
NTRS's weakest recurring window has been Jan 17 to Jan 27, declining in 8 of 10 years with an average return of -3.98%.
How reliable are NTRS's seasonal patterns?
Each NTRS pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. NTRS currently shows 606 recurring windows (425 bullish, 181 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is NTRS stock seasonality?
Seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Northern Trust's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where NTRS has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.