Nvidia (NVDA) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for NVDA — the calendar windows where Nvidia has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
NVDA seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, NVDA's strongest seasonal window has been May 24 – Jun 23: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +11.81% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, NVDA has historically declined between Aug 30 – Sep 9, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -3.17%).
In total, our analysis finds 913 recurring seasonal windows for Nvidia — 788 bullish and 125 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Jul 29 – Aug 28, opens in 2 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
NVDA's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 3d ago | Jul 4 – Jul 24 | 20d | +7.53% | 80% | +7.15% |
| Completedended 3d ago | Jun 24 – Jul 24 | 30d | +7.69% | 80% | +4.90% |
| Active20d left | Jul 27 – Aug 16 | 20d | +3.69% | 80% | — |
| Active30d left | Jul 27 – Aug 26 | 30d | +6.05% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 2d | Jul 29 – Aug 28 | 30d | +5.61% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 5d | Aug 1 – Aug 21 | 20d | +5.55% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 5d | Aug 1 – Aug 31 | 30d | +6.54% | 90% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore NVDA seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
NVDA seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy NVDA stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, NVDA's strongest seasonal window starts in May: May 24 to Jun 23, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +11.81%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is NVDA's strongest seasonal pattern?
NVDA's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the May 24 – Jun 23 window (30-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +11.81%.
When has NVDA historically performed worst?
NVDA's weakest recurring window has been Aug 30 to Sep 9, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -3.17%.
How reliable are NVDA's seasonal patterns?
Each NVDA pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. NVDA currently shows 913 recurring windows (788 bullish, 125 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is NVDA stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Nvidia's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where NVDA has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.