NVR, Inc. (NVR) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for NVR — the calendar windows where NVR, Inc. has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
NVR seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, NVR's strongest seasonal window has been Oct 30 – Nov 29: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +6.50% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, NVR has historically declined between Sep 11 – Sep 21, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -2.28%).
In total, our analysis finds 694 recurring seasonal windows for NVR, Inc. — 527 bullish and 167 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Sep 12 – Sep 22, opens tomorrow. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
NVR's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 28d ago | Aug 4 – Aug 14 | 10d | +1.44% | 90% | +0.65% |
| Completedended 30d ago | Aug 2 – Aug 12 | 10d | +1.26% | 80% | +2.39% |
| Active10d left | Sep 11 – Sep 21 | 10d | -2.28% | 90% | — |
| Upcomingtomorrow | Sep 12 – Sep 22 | 10d | -1.84% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 2d | Sep 13 – Sep 23 | 10d | -1.40% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 6d | Sep 17 – Sep 27 | 10d | -1.25% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 23d | Oct 4 – Nov 3 | 30d | -2.59% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore NVR seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
NVR seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy NVR stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, NVR's strongest seasonal window starts in October: Oct 30 to Nov 29, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +6.50%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is NVR's strongest seasonal pattern?
NVR's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Oct 30 – Nov 29 window (30-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +6.50%.
When has NVR historically performed worst?
NVR's weakest recurring window has been Sep 11 to Sep 21, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -2.28%.
How reliable are NVR's seasonal patterns?
Each NVR pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. NVR currently shows 694 recurring windows (527 bullish, 167 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is NVR stock seasonality?
Seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing NVR, Inc.'s price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where NVR has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.