Ollie's Bargain Outlet (OLLI) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for OLLI — the calendar windows where Ollie's Bargain Outlet has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
OLLI seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, OLLI's strongest seasonal window has been Jul 2 – Jul 22: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +7.36% across a 20-day hold. On the weak side, OLLI has historically declined between Feb 15 – Mar 7, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -5.31%).
In total, our analysis finds 879 recurring seasonal windows for Ollie's Bargain Outlet — 611 bullish and 268 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Jul 30 – Aug 29, opens in 3 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
OLLI's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 9d ago | Jul 8 – Jul 18 | 10d | +1.94% | 80% | +7.48% |
| Completedended 44d ago | May 24 – Jun 13 | 20d | +6.51% | 90% | +1.72% |
| Upcomingin 3d | Jul 30 – Aug 29 | 30d | -6.40% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 4d | Jul 31 – Aug 30 | 30d | -6.00% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 5d | Aug 1 – Aug 31 | 30d | -6.65% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 12d | Aug 8 – Sep 7 | 30d | -3.88% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 13d | Aug 9 – Aug 29 | 20d | -5.87% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore OLLI seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
OLLI seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy OLLI stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, OLLI's strongest seasonal window starts in July: Jul 2 to Jul 22, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +7.36%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is OLLI's strongest seasonal pattern?
OLLI's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Jul 2 – Jul 22 window (20-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +7.36%.
When has OLLI historically performed worst?
OLLI's weakest recurring window has been Feb 15 to Mar 7, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -5.31%.
How reliable are OLLI's seasonal patterns?
Each OLLI pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. OLLI currently shows 879 recurring windows (611 bullish, 268 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is OLLI stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Ollie's Bargain Outlet's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where OLLI has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.