Penske Automotive Group (PAG) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for PAG — the calendar windows where Penske Automotive Group has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
PAG seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, PAG's strongest seasonal window has been Apr 5 – May 5: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +10.60% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, PAG has historically declined between Mar 11 – Apr 10, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -5.92%).
In total, our analysis finds 773 recurring seasonal windows for Penske Automotive Group — 591 bullish and 182 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Jul 28 – Aug 17, opens tomorrow. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
PAG's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 5d ago | Jul 2 – Jul 22 | 20d | +4.13% | 80% | +19.59% |
| Completedended 6d ago | Jul 1 – Jul 21 | 20d | +3.79% | 80% | +10.23% |
| Active20d left | Jul 27 – Aug 16 | 20d | +4.69% | 80% | — |
| Active30d left | Jul 27 – Aug 26 | 30d | +4.66% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingtomorrow | Jul 28 – Aug 17 | 20d | +3.25% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingtomorrow | Jul 28 – Aug 27 | 30d | +4.90% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 2d | Jul 29 – Aug 28 | 30d | +2.98% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore PAG seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
PAG seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy PAG stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, PAG's strongest seasonal window starts in April: Apr 5 to May 5, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +10.60%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is PAG's strongest seasonal pattern?
PAG's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Apr 5 – May 5 window (30-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +10.60%.
When has PAG historically performed worst?
PAG's weakest recurring window has been Mar 11 to Apr 10, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -5.92%.
How reliable are PAG's seasonal patterns?
Each PAG pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. PAG currently shows 773 recurring windows (591 bullish, 182 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is PAG stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Penske Automotive Group's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where PAG has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.