Paychex (PAYX) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for PAYX — the calendar windows where Paychex has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
PAYX seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, PAYX's strongest seasonal window has been May 8 – Jun 7: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +6.20% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, PAYX has historically declined between Jun 7 – Jun 27, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -3.43%).
In total, our analysis finds 560 recurring seasonal windows for Paychex — 425 bullish and 135 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Oct 11 – Oct 21, opens in 76 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
PAYX's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 3d ago | Jul 4 – Jul 24 | 20d | +2.88% | 90% | +4.05% |
| Completedended 4d ago | Jul 3 – Jul 23 | 20d | +2.75% | 80% | +4.05% |
| Upcomingin 76d | Oct 11 – Oct 21 | 10d | +1.05% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 82d | Oct 17 – Nov 16 | 30d | +2.26% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 83d | Oct 18 – Nov 17 | 30d | +2.10% | 90% | — |
| Upcomingin 84d | Oct 19 – Nov 18 | 30d | +2.16% | 90% | — |
| Upcomingin 85d | Oct 20 – Nov 19 | 30d | +2.15% | 90% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore PAYX seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
PAYX seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy PAYX stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, PAYX's strongest seasonal window starts in May: May 8 to Jun 7, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +6.20%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is PAYX's strongest seasonal pattern?
PAYX's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the May 8 – Jun 7 window (30-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +6.20%.
When has PAYX historically performed worst?
PAYX's weakest recurring window has been Jun 7 to Jun 27, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -3.43%.
How reliable are PAYX's seasonal patterns?
Each PAYX pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. PAYX currently shows 560 recurring windows (425 bullish, 135 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is PAYX stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Paychex's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where PAYX has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.