PBF Energy (PBF) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for PBF — the calendar windows where PBF Energy has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
PBF seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, PBF's strongest seasonal window has been Dec 15 – Jan 14: it ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +9.28% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, PBF has historically declined between Nov 26 – Dec 16, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -9.38%).
In total, our analysis finds 911 recurring seasonal windows for PBF Energy — 605 bullish and 306 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Jul 30 – Aug 29, opens in 3 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
PBF's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 37d ago | Jun 10 – Jun 20 | 10d | -3.90% | 80% | -12.40% |
| Completedended 38d ago | Jun 9 – Jun 19 | 10d | -3.97% | 90% | -7.61% |
| Upcomingin 3d | Jul 30 – Aug 29 | 30d | +4.09% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 4d | Jul 31 – Aug 30 | 30d | +3.32% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 6d | Aug 2 – Aug 12 | 10d | +1.86% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 13d | Aug 9 – Sep 8 | 30d | +5.39% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 14d | Aug 10 – Aug 30 | 20d | +5.74% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore PBF seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
PBF seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy PBF stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, PBF's strongest seasonal window starts in December: Dec 15 to Jan 14, which ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +9.28%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is PBF's strongest seasonal pattern?
PBF's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Dec 15 – Jan 14 window (30-day hold): up in 9 of the last 10 years with an average move of +9.28%.
When has PBF historically performed worst?
PBF's weakest recurring window has been Nov 26 to Dec 16, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -9.38%.
How reliable are PBF's seasonal patterns?
Each PBF pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. PBF currently shows 911 recurring windows (605 bullish, 306 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is PBF stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing PBF Energy's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where PBF has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.