Provident Financial Services, Inc. (PFS) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for PFS — the calendar windows where Provident Financial Services, Inc. has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
PFS seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, PFS's strongest seasonal window has been Oct 16 – Nov 15: it ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +8.50% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, PFS has historically declined between Jun 8 – Jun 18, falling in 10 of 10 years (average -4.16%).
In total, our analysis finds 660 recurring seasonal windows for Provident Financial Services, Inc. — 406 bullish and 254 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Sep 12 – Oct 2, opens in 47 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
PFS's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 3d ago | Jun 24 – Jul 24 | 30d | +7.59% | 80% | +1.67% |
| Completedended 5d ago | Jun 22 – Jul 22 | 30d | +6.95% | 80% | +4.35% |
| Upcomingin 47d | Sep 12 – Oct 2 | 20d | -1.51% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 48d | Sep 13 – Oct 3 | 20d | -1.49% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 64d | Sep 29 – Oct 29 | 30d | +3.52% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 65d | Sep 30 – Oct 30 | 30d | +3.12% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 66d | Oct 1 – Oct 31 | 30d | +3.31% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore PFS seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
PFS seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy PFS stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, PFS's strongest seasonal window starts in October: Oct 16 to Nov 15, which ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +8.50%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is PFS's strongest seasonal pattern?
PFS's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Oct 16 – Nov 15 window (30-day hold): up in 9 of the last 10 years with an average move of +8.50%.
When has PFS historically performed worst?
PFS's weakest recurring window has been Jun 8 to Jun 18, declining in 10 of 10 years with an average return of -4.16%.
How reliable are PFS's seasonal patterns?
Each PFS pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. PFS currently shows 660 recurring windows (406 bullish, 254 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is PFS stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Provident Financial Services, Inc.'s price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where PFS has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.