Progressive Corporation (PGR) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for PGR — the calendar windows where Progressive Corporation has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
PGR seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, PGR's strongest seasonal window has been Oct 31 – Nov 10: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +3.72% across a 10-day hold. On the weak side, PGR has historically declined between Jun 5 – Jun 15, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -2.64%).
In total, our analysis finds 617 recurring seasonal windows for Progressive Corporation — 557 bullish and 60 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Jul 28 – Aug 7, opens tomorrow. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
PGR's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 15d ago | Jun 22 – Jul 12 | 20d | +1.35% | 80% | +11.30% |
| Completedended 15d ago | Jun 12 – Jul 12 | 30d | +1.68% | 80% | +13.64% |
| Active20d left | Jul 27 – Aug 16 | 20d | +4.01% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingtomorrow | Jul 28 – Aug 7 | 10d | +1.87% | 90% | — |
| Upcomingtomorrow | Jul 28 – Aug 17 | 20d | +4.41% | 90% | — |
| Upcomingtomorrow | Jul 28 – Aug 27 | 30d | +4.63% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 2d | Jul 29 – Aug 8 | 10d | +1.93% | 90% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore PGR seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
PGR seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy PGR stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, PGR's strongest seasonal window starts in October: Oct 31 to Nov 10, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +3.72%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is PGR's strongest seasonal pattern?
PGR's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Oct 31 – Nov 10 window (10-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +3.72%.
When has PGR historically performed worst?
PGR's weakest recurring window has been Jun 5 to Jun 15, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -2.64%.
How reliable are PGR's seasonal patterns?
Each PGR pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. PGR currently shows 617 recurring windows (557 bullish, 60 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is PGR stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Progressive Corporation's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where PGR has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.