Peloton Interactive, Inc. (PTON) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for PTON — the calendar windows where Peloton Interactive, Inc. has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 7 years of price history. Peloton Interactive, Inc. has less than 10 years of trading history, so these patterns use all 7 available years.
PTON seasonality at a glance
Over the last 7 years, PTON's strongest seasonal window has been Nov 23 – Dec 3: it ended higher in 7 of 7 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +10.80% across a 10-day hold. On the weak side, PTON has historically declined between Feb 12 – Mar 14, falling in 6 of 6 years (average -25.01%).
In total, our analysis finds 932 recurring seasonal windows for Peloton Interactive, Inc. — 571 bullish and 361 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Oct 3 – Nov 2, opens in 22 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
PTON's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 39d ago | Jul 14 – Aug 3 | 20d | +8.65% | 83% | +4.71% |
| Completedended 42d ago | Jul 11 – Jul 31 | 20d | +4.55% | 83% | +9.04% |
| Upcomingin 22d | Oct 3 – Nov 2 | 30d | +11.90% | 86% | — |
| Upcomingin 24d | Oct 5 – Nov 4 | 30d | +10.41% | 86% | — |
| Upcomingin 47d | Oct 28 – Nov 7 | 10d | +3.92% | 86% | — |
| Upcomingin 48d | Oct 29 – Nov 8 | 10d | +4.17% | 86% | — |
| Upcomingin 70d | Nov 20 – Nov 30 | 10d | +8.83% | 86% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore PTON seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
PTON seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy PTON stock?
Based on the last 7 years of price data, PTON's strongest seasonal window starts in November: Nov 23 to Dec 3, which ended higher in 7 of 7 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +10.80%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is PTON's strongest seasonal pattern?
PTON's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Nov 23 – Dec 3 window (10-day hold): up in 7 of the last 7 years with an average move of +10.80%.
When has PTON historically performed worst?
PTON's weakest recurring window has been Feb 12 to Mar 14, declining in 6 of 6 years with an average return of -25.01%.
How reliable are PTON's seasonal patterns?
Each PTON pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 7 years it repeated in the same direction. PTON currently shows 932 recurring windows (571 bullish, 361 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is PTON stock seasonality?
Seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Peloton Interactive, Inc.'s price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where PTON has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.