PayPal (PYPL) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for PYPL — the calendar windows where PayPal has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
PYPL seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, PYPL's strongest seasonal window has been Jun 28 – Jul 28: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +6.32% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, PYPL has historically declined between Oct 25 – Nov 4, falling in 8 of 10 years (average -3.75%).
In total, our analysis finds 699 recurring seasonal windows for PayPal — 472 bullish and 227 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Jul 30 – Aug 29, opens in 3 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
PYPL's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 3d ago | Jul 14 – Jul 24 | 10d | +2.41% | 80% | +18.22% |
| Completedended 3d ago | Jul 4 – Jul 24 | 20d | +5.10% | 80% | +23.16% |
| Upcomingin 3d | Jul 30 – Aug 29 | 30d | +2.69% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 5d | Aug 1 – Aug 31 | 30d | +2.59% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 6d | Aug 2 – Aug 22 | 20d | +1.88% | 90% | — |
| Upcomingin 6d | Aug 2 – Sep 1 | 30d | +3.86% | 90% | — |
| Upcomingin 7d | Aug 3 – Sep 2 | 30d | +4.03% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore PYPL seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
PYPL seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy PYPL stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, PYPL's strongest seasonal window starts in June: Jun 28 to Jul 28, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +6.32%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is PYPL's strongest seasonal pattern?
PYPL's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Jun 28 – Jul 28 window (30-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +6.32%.
When has PYPL historically performed worst?
PYPL's weakest recurring window has been Oct 25 to Nov 4, declining in 8 of 10 years with an average return of -3.75%.
How reliable are PYPL's seasonal patterns?
Each PYPL pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. PYPL currently shows 699 recurring windows (472 bullish, 227 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is PYPL stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing PayPal's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where PYPL has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.