Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for QQQ — the calendar windows where Invesco QQQ Trust has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
QQQ seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, QQQ's strongest seasonal window has been Jun 14 – Jul 14: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +4.65% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, QQQ has historically declined between Sep 2 – Oct 2, falling in 7 of 10 years (average -1.99%).
In total, our analysis finds 612 recurring seasonal windows for Invesco QQQ Trust — 550 bullish and 62 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Oct 27 – Nov 16, opens tomorrow. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
QQQ's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 51d ago | Aug 6 – Sep 5 | 30d | +1.37% | 90% | +0.60% |
| Completedended 52d ago | Aug 5 – Sep 4 | 30d | +1.89% | 90% | +0.23% |
| Active20d left | Oct 26 – Nov 15 | 20d | +2.96% | 80% | — |
| Active30d left | Oct 26 – Nov 25 | 30d | +3.49% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingtomorrow | Oct 27 – Nov 16 | 20d | +2.75% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingtomorrow | Oct 27 – Nov 26 | 30d | +3.28% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 2d | Oct 28 – Nov 17 | 20d | +2.53% | 90% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore QQQ seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
QQQ seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy QQQ stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, QQQ's strongest seasonal window starts in June: Jun 14 to Jul 14, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +4.65%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is QQQ's strongest seasonal pattern?
QQQ's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Jun 14 – Jul 14 window (30-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +4.65%.
When has QQQ historically performed worst?
QQQ's weakest recurring window has been Sep 2 to Oct 2, declining in 7 of 10 years with an average return of -1.99%.
How reliable are QQQ's seasonal patterns?
Each QQQ pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. QQQ currently shows 612 recurring windows (550 bullish, 62 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is QQQ stock seasonality?
Seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Invesco QQQ Trust's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where QQQ has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.