Royal Caribbean Group (RCL) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for RCL — the calendar windows where Royal Caribbean Group has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
RCL seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, RCL's strongest seasonal window has been Nov 4 – Dec 4: it ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +9.41% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, RCL has historically declined between Feb 27 – Mar 9, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -8.25%).
In total, our analysis finds 808 recurring seasonal windows for Royal Caribbean Group — 600 bullish and 208 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Aug 2 – Aug 22, opens in 6 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
RCL's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 3d ago | Jul 14 – Jul 24 | 10d | +3.91% | 90% | +0.11% |
| Completedended 6d ago | Jul 11 – Jul 21 | 10d | +2.43% | 80% | +0.89% |
| Upcomingin 6d | Aug 2 – Aug 22 | 20d | +5.78% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 6d | Aug 2 – Sep 1 | 30d | +10.34% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 7d | Aug 3 – Aug 23 | 20d | +6.52% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 7d | Aug 3 – Sep 2 | 30d | +9.43% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 11d | Aug 7 – Sep 6 | 30d | +6.07% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore RCL seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
RCL seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy RCL stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, RCL's strongest seasonal window starts in November: Nov 4 to Dec 4, which ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +9.41%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is RCL's strongest seasonal pattern?
RCL's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Nov 4 – Dec 4 window (30-day hold): up in 9 of the last 10 years with an average move of +9.41%.
When has RCL historically performed worst?
RCL's weakest recurring window has been Feb 27 to Mar 9, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -8.25%.
How reliable are RCL's seasonal patterns?
Each RCL pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. RCL currently shows 808 recurring windows (600 bullish, 208 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is RCL stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Royal Caribbean Group's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where RCL has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.