Radian Group, Inc. (RDN) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for RDN — the calendar windows where Radian Group, Inc. has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
RDN seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, RDN's strongest seasonal window has been Jul 11 – Aug 10: it ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +7.28% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, RDN has historically declined between Mar 13 – Mar 23, falling in 8 of 10 years (average -6.50%).
In total, our analysis finds 741 recurring seasonal windows for Radian Group, Inc. — 564 bullish and 177 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Sep 27 – Oct 17, opens in 16 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
RDN's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 2d ago | Aug 30 – Sep 9 | 10d | -1.24% | 80% | -0.16% |
| Completedended 12d ago | Aug 20 – Aug 30 | 10d | +1.34% | 80% | +0.02% |
| Upcomingin 16d | Sep 27 – Oct 17 | 20d | +3.83% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 17d | Sep 28 – Oct 18 | 20d | +2.58% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 20d | Oct 1 – Oct 31 | 30d | +4.56% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 29d | Oct 10 – Oct 30 | 20d | +2.70% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 30d | Oct 11 – Oct 31 | 20d | +3.24% | 90% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore RDN seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
RDN seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy RDN stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, RDN's strongest seasonal window starts in July: Jul 11 to Aug 10, which ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +7.28%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is RDN's strongest seasonal pattern?
RDN's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Jul 11 – Aug 10 window (30-day hold): up in 9 of the last 10 years with an average move of +7.28%.
When has RDN historically performed worst?
RDN's weakest recurring window has been Mar 13 to Mar 23, declining in 8 of 10 years with an average return of -6.50%.
How reliable are RDN's seasonal patterns?
Each RDN pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. RDN currently shows 741 recurring windows (564 bullish, 177 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is RDN stock seasonality?
Seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Radian Group, Inc.'s price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where RDN has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.