Royal Gold (RGLD) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for RGLD — the calendar windows where Royal Gold has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
RGLD seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, RGLD's strongest seasonal window has been Mar 14 – Apr 13: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +15.08% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, RGLD has historically declined between Oct 20 – Oct 30, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -2.42%).
In total, our analysis finds 674 recurring seasonal windows for Royal Gold — 502 bullish and 172 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Aug 9 – Aug 19, opens in 13 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
RGLD's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 23d ago | Jun 24 – Jul 4 | 10d | +2.96% | 90% | +1.18% |
| Completedended 91d ago | Mar 28 – Apr 27 | 30d | +8.68% | 80% | +3.77% |
| Upcomingin 13d | Aug 9 – Aug 19 | 10d | -2.14% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 27d | Aug 23 – Sep 12 | 20d | -1.18% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 54d | Sep 19 – Oct 19 | 30d | -1.90% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 55d | Sep 20 – Sep 30 | 10d | -2.50% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 55d | Sep 20 – Oct 20 | 30d | -2.10% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore RGLD seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
RGLD seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy RGLD stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, RGLD's strongest seasonal window starts in March: Mar 14 to Apr 13, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +15.08%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is RGLD's strongest seasonal pattern?
RGLD's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Mar 14 – Apr 13 window (30-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +15.08%.
When has RGLD historically performed worst?
RGLD's weakest recurring window has been Oct 20 to Oct 30, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -2.42%.
How reliable are RGLD's seasonal patterns?
Each RGLD pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. RGLD currently shows 674 recurring windows (502 bullish, 172 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is RGLD stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Royal Gold's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where RGLD has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.