Rithm Capital (RITM) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for RITM — the calendar windows where Rithm Capital has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
RITM seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, RITM's strongest seasonal window has been Oct 11 – Nov 10: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +4.26% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, RITM has historically declined between Mar 30 – Apr 9, falling in 8 of 10 years (average -1.79%).
In total, our analysis finds 756 recurring seasonal windows for Rithm Capital — 547 bullish and 209 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Oct 8 – Nov 7, opens in 73 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
RITM's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 5d ago | Jul 2 – Jul 22 | 20d | +3.60% | 80% | +0.44% |
| Completedended 6d ago | Jun 21 – Jul 21 | 30d | +4.12% | 80% | +2.30% |
| Upcomingin 73d | Oct 8 – Nov 7 | 30d | +3.56% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 74d | Oct 9 – Nov 8 | 30d | +3.51% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 75d | Oct 10 – Oct 20 | 10d | +1.86% | 90% | — |
| Upcomingin 75d | Oct 10 – Oct 30 | 20d | +2.16% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 75d | Oct 10 – Nov 9 | 30d | +4.01% | 90% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore RITM seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
RITM seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy RITM stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, RITM's strongest seasonal window starts in October: Oct 11 to Nov 10, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +4.26%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is RITM's strongest seasonal pattern?
RITM's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Oct 11 – Nov 10 window (30-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +4.26%.
When has RITM historically performed worst?
RITM's weakest recurring window has been Mar 30 to Apr 9, declining in 8 of 10 years with an average return of -1.79%.
How reliable are RITM's seasonal patterns?
Each RITM pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. RITM currently shows 756 recurring windows (547 bullish, 209 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is RITM stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Rithm Capital's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where RITM has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.