Sprouts Farmers Market (SFM) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for SFM — the calendar windows where Sprouts Farmers Market has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
SFM seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, SFM's strongest seasonal window has been Nov 3 – Dec 3: it ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +7.31% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, SFM has historically declined between May 30 – Jun 19, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -5.15%).
In total, our analysis finds 701 recurring seasonal windows for Sprouts Farmers Market — 490 bullish and 211 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Aug 9 – Aug 19, opens in 13 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
SFM's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 20d ago | Jun 27 – Jul 7 | 10d | +3.59% | 90% | +2.37% |
| Completedended 20d ago | Jun 17 – Jul 7 | 20d | +4.85% | 80% | +5.56% |
| Upcomingin 13d | Aug 9 – Aug 19 | 10d | +1.79% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 17d | Aug 13 – Aug 23 | 10d | +1.43% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 31d | Aug 27 – Sep 6 | 10d | -1.11% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 39d | Sep 4 – Oct 4 | 30d | -3.80% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 40d | Sep 5 – Oct 5 | 30d | -4.15% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore SFM seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
SFM seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy SFM stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, SFM's strongest seasonal window starts in November: Nov 3 to Dec 3, which ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +7.31%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is SFM's strongest seasonal pattern?
SFM's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Nov 3 – Dec 3 window (30-day hold): up in 9 of the last 10 years with an average move of +7.31%.
When has SFM historically performed worst?
SFM's weakest recurring window has been May 30 to Jun 19, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -5.15%.
How reliable are SFM's seasonal patterns?
Each SFM pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. SFM currently shows 701 recurring windows (490 bullish, 211 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is SFM stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Sprouts Farmers Market's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where SFM has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.