Shake Shack, Inc. (SHAK) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for SHAK — the calendar windows where Shake Shack, Inc. has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
SHAK seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, SHAK's strongest seasonal window has been Jan 21 – Feb 20: it ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +9.42% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, SHAK has historically declined between Nov 12 – Nov 22, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -2.31%).
In total, our analysis finds 838 recurring seasonal windows for Shake Shack, Inc. — 572 bullish and 266 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Oct 6 – Oct 16, opens in 25 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
SHAK's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 1d ago | Aug 31 – Sep 10 | 10d | -2.41% | 80% | -10.44% |
| Completedended 87d ago | May 17 – Jun 16 | 30d | +4.14% | 80% | +0.02% |
| Upcomingin 25d | Oct 6 – Oct 16 | 10d | -1.24% | 90% | — |
| Upcomingin 31d | Oct 12 – Nov 11 | 30d | +4.25% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 32d | Oct 13 – Nov 12 | 30d | +3.87% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 40d | Oct 21 – Nov 10 | 20d | +3.40% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 41d | Oct 22 – Nov 11 | 20d | +3.87% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore SHAK seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
SHAK seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy SHAK stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, SHAK's strongest seasonal window starts in January: Jan 21 to Feb 20, which ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +9.42%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is SHAK's strongest seasonal pattern?
SHAK's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Jan 21 – Feb 20 window (30-day hold): up in 9 of the last 10 years with an average move of +9.42%.
When has SHAK historically performed worst?
SHAK's weakest recurring window has been Nov 12 to Nov 22, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -2.31%.
How reliable are SHAK's seasonal patterns?
Each SHAK pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. SHAK currently shows 838 recurring windows (572 bullish, 266 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is SHAK stock seasonality?
Seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Shake Shack, Inc.'s price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where SHAK has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.