Shell (SHEL.L) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for SHEL.L — the calendar windows where Shell has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
SHEL.L seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, SHEL.L's strongest seasonal window has been Dec 17 – Jan 6: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +4.53% across a 20-day hold. On the weak side, SHEL.L has historically declined between Jan 14 – Jan 24, falling in 10 of 10 years (average -3.18%).
In total, our analysis finds 570 recurring seasonal windows for Shell — 389 bullish and 181 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Nov 9 – Nov 19, opens in 14 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
SHEL.L's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 3d ago | Oct 3 – Oct 23 | 20d | +2.12% | 80% | +12.14% |
| Completedended 4d ago | Oct 2 – Oct 22 | 20d | +2.66% | 80% | +8.12% |
| Upcomingin 14d | Nov 9 – Nov 19 | 10d | -1.17% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 15d | Nov 10 – Nov 30 | 20d | -1.03% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 39d | Dec 4 – Dec 14 | 10d | -1.22% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 42d | Dec 7 – Jan 6 | 30d | +3.74% | 90% | -0.47% |
| Upcomingin 43d | Dec 8 – Jan 7 | 30d | +3.57% | 90% | -3.44% |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore SHEL.L seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
SHEL.L seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy SHEL.L stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, SHEL.L's strongest seasonal window starts in December: Dec 17 to Jan 6, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +4.53%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is SHEL.L's strongest seasonal pattern?
SHEL.L's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Dec 17 – Jan 6 window (20-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +4.53%.
When has SHEL.L historically performed worst?
SHEL.L's weakest recurring window has been Jan 14 to Jan 24, declining in 10 of 10 years with an average return of -3.18%.
How reliable are SHEL.L's seasonal patterns?
Each SHEL.L pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. SHEL.L currently shows 570 recurring windows (389 bullish, 181 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is SHEL.L stock seasonality?
Seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Shell's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where SHEL.L has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.