J.M. Smucker Company (The) (SJM) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for SJM — the calendar windows where J.M. Smucker Company (The) has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
SJM seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, SJM's strongest seasonal window has been Jun 29 – Jul 29: it ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +4.44% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, SJM has historically declined between Aug 19 – Sep 18, falling in 10 of 10 years (average -5.56%).
In total, our analysis finds 647 recurring seasonal windows for J.M. Smucker Company (The) — 381 bullish and 266 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Jul 28 – Aug 17, opens tomorrow. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
SJM's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 3d ago | Jun 24 – Jul 24 | 30d | +2.09% | 80% | +3.65% |
| Completedended 4d ago | Jun 23 – Jul 23 | 30d | +2.36% | 80% | +4.74% |
| Active20d left | Jul 27 – Aug 16 | 20d | +1.94% | 90% | — |
| Upcomingtomorrow | Jul 28 – Aug 17 | 20d | +2.25% | 90% | — |
| Upcomingin 2d | Jul 29 – Aug 18 | 20d | +1.46% | 90% | — |
| Upcomingin 2d | Jul 29 – Aug 28 | 30d | -3.37% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 3d | Jul 30 – Aug 19 | 20d | +2.04% | 90% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore SJM seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
SJM seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy SJM stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, SJM's strongest seasonal window starts in June: Jun 29 to Jul 29, which ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +4.44%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is SJM's strongest seasonal pattern?
SJM's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Jun 29 – Jul 29 window (30-day hold): up in 9 of the last 10 years with an average move of +4.44%.
When has SJM historically performed worst?
SJM's weakest recurring window has been Aug 19 to Sep 18, declining in 10 of 10 years with an average return of -5.56%.
How reliable are SJM's seasonal patterns?
Each SJM pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. SJM currently shows 647 recurring windows (381 bullish, 266 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is SJM stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing J.M. Smucker Company (The)'s price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where SJM has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.