iShares Silver Trust (SLV) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for SLV — the calendar windows where iShares Silver Trust has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
SLV seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, SLV's strongest seasonal window has been May 12 – Jun 11: it ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +4.62% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, SLV has historically declined between Apr 21 – May 1, falling in 8 of 10 years (average -2.83%).
In total, our analysis finds 657 recurring seasonal windows for iShares Silver Trust — 554 bullish and 103 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Dec 6 – Dec 26, opens in 41 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
SLV's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 62d ago | Aug 15 – Aug 25 | 10d | +1.03% | 80% | +6.57% |
| Completedended 89d ago | Jul 19 – Jul 29 | 10d | +3.49% | 80% | +1.95% |
| Upcomingin 41d | Dec 6 – Dec 26 | 20d | +5.64% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 42d | Dec 7 – Dec 27 | 20d | +5.45% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 43d | Dec 8 – Dec 28 | 20d | +5.77% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 44d | Dec 9 – Dec 29 | 20d | +4.56% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 45d | Dec 10 – Dec 20 | 10d | +1.86% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore SLV seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
SLV seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy SLV stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, SLV's strongest seasonal window starts in May: May 12 to Jun 11, which ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +4.62%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is SLV's strongest seasonal pattern?
SLV's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the May 12 – Jun 11 window (30-day hold): up in 9 of the last 10 years with an average move of +4.62%.
When has SLV historically performed worst?
SLV's weakest recurring window has been Apr 21 to May 1, declining in 8 of 10 years with an average return of -2.83%.
How reliable are SLV's seasonal patterns?
Each SLV pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. SLV currently shows 657 recurring windows (554 bullish, 103 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is SLV stock seasonality?
Seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing iShares Silver Trust's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where SLV has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.