SM Energy Company (SM) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for SM — the calendar windows where SM Energy Company has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
SM seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, SM's strongest seasonal window has been Mar 18 – Apr 17: it ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +14.00% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, SM has historically declined between Feb 17 – Feb 27, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -9.64%).
In total, our analysis finds 895 recurring seasonal windows for SM Energy Company — 606 bullish and 289 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Jul 30 – Aug 29, opens in 3 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
SM's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 40d ago | Jun 7 – Jun 17 | 10d | -8.16% | 90% | -12.19% |
| Completedended 55d ago | May 3 – Jun 2 | 30d | +8.65% | 80% | +8.11% |
| Upcomingin 3d | Jul 30 – Aug 29 | 30d | +3.16% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 5d | Aug 1 – Aug 31 | 30d | +6.77% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 10d | Aug 6 – Sep 5 | 30d | +4.90% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 11d | Aug 7 – Sep 6 | 30d | +5.10% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 21d | Aug 17 – Aug 27 | 10d | +3.33% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore SM seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
SM seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy SM stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, SM's strongest seasonal window starts in March: Mar 18 to Apr 17, which ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +14.00%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is SM's strongest seasonal pattern?
SM's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Mar 18 – Apr 17 window (30-day hold): up in 9 of the last 10 years with an average move of +14.00%.
When has SM historically performed worst?
SM's weakest recurring window has been Feb 17 to Feb 27, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -9.64%.
How reliable are SM's seasonal patterns?
Each SM pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. SM currently shows 895 recurring windows (606 bullish, 289 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is SM stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing SM Energy Company's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where SM has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.