Semtech Corporation (SMTC) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for SMTC — the calendar windows where Semtech Corporation has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
SMTC seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, SMTC's strongest seasonal window has been Oct 26 – Nov 25: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +8.94% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, SMTC has historically declined between Jan 21 – Feb 10, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -9.50%).
In total, our analysis finds 879 recurring seasonal windows for Semtech Corporation — 640 bullish and 239 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Oct 18 – Nov 7, opens in 83 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
SMTC's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 4d ago | Jul 3 – Jul 23 | 20d | +5.00% | 80% | +2.52% |
| Completedended 5d ago | Jul 2 – Jul 22 | 20d | +4.73% | 90% | +1.23% |
| Upcomingin 83d | Oct 18 – Nov 7 | 20d | +4.33% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 84d | Oct 19 – Nov 8 | 20d | +6.80% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 85d | Oct 20 – Nov 9 | 20d | +5.51% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 86d | Oct 21 – Nov 10 | 20d | +6.68% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 87d | Oct 22 – Nov 11 | 20d | +6.99% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore SMTC seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
SMTC seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy SMTC stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, SMTC's strongest seasonal window starts in October: Oct 26 to Nov 25, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +8.94%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is SMTC's strongest seasonal pattern?
SMTC's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Oct 26 – Nov 25 window (30-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +8.94%.
When has SMTC historically performed worst?
SMTC's weakest recurring window has been Jan 21 to Feb 10, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -9.50%.
How reliable are SMTC's seasonal patterns?
Each SMTC pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. SMTC currently shows 879 recurring windows (640 bullish, 239 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is SMTC stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Semtech Corporation's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where SMTC has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.