Simon Property Group (SPG) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for SPG — the calendar windows where Simon Property Group has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
SPG seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, SPG's strongest seasonal window has been Oct 29 – Nov 28: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +8.57% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, SPG has historically declined between May 10 – May 20, falling in 10 of 10 years (average -3.45%).
In total, our analysis finds 743 recurring seasonal windows for Simon Property Group — 505 bullish and 238 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Sep 16 – Oct 6, opens in 5 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
SPG's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 34d ago | Jul 9 – Aug 8 | 30d | +2.60% | 90% | +1.46% |
| Completedended 35d ago | Jul 8 – Aug 7 | 30d | +2.22% | 80% | +1.74% |
| Upcomingin 5d | Sep 16 – Oct 6 | 20d | -3.83% | 90% | — |
| Upcomingin 6d | Sep 17 – Oct 7 | 20d | -3.51% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 17d | Sep 28 – Oct 8 | 10d | -1.79% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 24d | Oct 5 – Oct 25 | 20d | +3.14% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 25d | Oct 6 – Oct 16 | 10d | +1.25% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore SPG seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
SPG seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy SPG stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, SPG's strongest seasonal window starts in October: Oct 29 to Nov 28, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +8.57%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is SPG's strongest seasonal pattern?
SPG's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Oct 29 – Nov 28 window (30-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +8.57%.
When has SPG historically performed worst?
SPG's weakest recurring window has been May 10 to May 20, declining in 10 of 10 years with an average return of -3.45%.
How reliable are SPG's seasonal patterns?
Each SPG pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. SPG currently shows 743 recurring windows (505 bullish, 238 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is SPG stock seasonality?
Seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Simon Property Group's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where SPG has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.