Starwood Property Trust (STWD) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for STWD — the calendar windows where Starwood Property Trust has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
STWD seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, STWD's strongest seasonal window has been Jun 15 – Jul 15: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +3.76% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, STWD has historically declined between Sep 28 – Oct 8, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -1.99%).
In total, our analysis finds 633 recurring seasonal windows for Starwood Property Trust — 462 bullish and 171 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Oct 27 – Nov 26, opens tomorrow. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
STWD's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 18d ago | Sep 28 – Oct 8 | 10d | -1.99% | 90% | -7.88% |
| Completedended 19d ago | Sep 27 – Oct 7 | 10d | -1.79% | 80% | -8.79% |
| Active30d left | Oct 26 – Nov 25 | 30d | +4.91% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingtomorrow | Oct 27 – Nov 26 | 30d | +5.47% | 90% | — |
| Upcomingin 2d | Oct 28 – Nov 27 | 30d | +5.64% | 90% | — |
| Upcomingin 3d | Oct 29 – Nov 28 | 30d | +5.66% | 90% | — |
| Upcomingin 4d | Oct 30 – Nov 29 | 30d | +5.98% | 90% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore STWD seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
STWD seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy STWD stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, STWD's strongest seasonal window starts in June: Jun 15 to Jul 15, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +3.76%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is STWD's strongest seasonal pattern?
STWD's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Jun 15 – Jul 15 window (30-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +3.76%.
When has STWD historically performed worst?
STWD's weakest recurring window has been Sep 28 to Oct 8, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -1.99%.
How reliable are STWD's seasonal patterns?
Each STWD pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. STWD currently shows 633 recurring windows (462 bullish, 171 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is STWD stock seasonality?
Seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Starwood Property Trust's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where STWD has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.