Texas Capital Bancshares (TCBI) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for TCBI — the calendar windows where Texas Capital Bancshares has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
TCBI seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, TCBI's strongest seasonal window has been Jun 29 – Jul 29: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +7.61% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, TCBI has historically declined between Mar 6 – Apr 5, falling in 10 of 10 years (average -14.02%).
In total, our analysis finds 801 recurring seasonal windows for Texas Capital Bancshares — 586 bullish and 215 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Oct 4 – Nov 3, opens in 23 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
TCBI's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 51d ago | Jul 12 – Jul 22 | 10d | +2.58% | 80% | +0.54% |
| Completedended 52d ago | Jul 11 – Jul 21 | 10d | +3.32% | 80% | +1.26% |
| Upcomingin 23d | Oct 4 – Nov 3 | 30d | +2.80% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 39d | Oct 20 – Nov 9 | 20d | +5.99% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 40d | Oct 21 – Nov 10 | 20d | +7.70% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 41d | Oct 22 – Nov 11 | 20d | +7.33% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 42d | Oct 23 – Nov 12 | 20d | +5.89% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore TCBI seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
TCBI seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy TCBI stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, TCBI's strongest seasonal window starts in June: Jun 29 to Jul 29, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +7.61%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is TCBI's strongest seasonal pattern?
TCBI's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Jun 29 – Jul 29 window (30-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +7.61%.
When has TCBI historically performed worst?
TCBI's weakest recurring window has been Mar 6 to Apr 5, declining in 10 of 10 years with an average return of -14.02%.
How reliable are TCBI's seasonal patterns?
Each TCBI pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. TCBI currently shows 801 recurring windows (586 bullish, 215 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is TCBI stock seasonality?
Seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Texas Capital Bancshares's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where TCBI has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.