TransDigm Group (TDG) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for TDG — the calendar windows where TransDigm Group has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
TDG seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, TDG's strongest seasonal window has been May 16 – Jun 15: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +7.87% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, TDG has historically declined between Feb 19 – Mar 11, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -4.11%).
In total, our analysis finds 751 recurring seasonal windows for TransDigm Group — 602 bullish and 149 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Sep 19 – Oct 19, opens in 8 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
TDG's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 1d ago | Aug 31 – Sep 10 | 10d | -1.56% | 80% | -3.83% |
| Completedended 3d ago | Aug 29 – Sep 8 | 10d | -1.53% | 80% | -3.44% |
| Upcomingin 8d | Sep 19 – Oct 19 | 30d | -1.65% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 26d | Oct 7 – Nov 6 | 30d | +3.70% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 27d | Oct 8 – Nov 7 | 30d | +3.98% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 28d | Oct 9 – Nov 8 | 30d | +4.60% | 90% | — |
| Upcomingin 29d | Oct 10 – Nov 9 | 30d | +6.04% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore TDG seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
TDG seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy TDG stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, TDG's strongest seasonal window starts in May: May 16 to Jun 15, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +7.87%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is TDG's strongest seasonal pattern?
TDG's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the May 16 – Jun 15 window (30-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +7.87%.
When has TDG historically performed worst?
TDG's weakest recurring window has been Feb 19 to Mar 11, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -4.11%.
How reliable are TDG's seasonal patterns?
Each TDG pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. TDG currently shows 751 recurring windows (602 bullish, 149 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is TDG stock seasonality?
Seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing TransDigm Group's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where TDG has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.