Target Corporation (TGT) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for TGT — the calendar windows where Target Corporation has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
TGT seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, TGT's strongest seasonal window has been Jun 23 – Jul 23: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +5.39% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, TGT has historically declined between Sep 7 – Oct 7, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -3.88%).
In total, our analysis finds 719 recurring seasonal windows for Target Corporation — 474 bullish and 245 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Nov 2 – Nov 12, opens in 7 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
TGT's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 11d ago | Oct 5 – Oct 15 | 10d | +2.47% | 90% | +2.38% |
| Completedended 18d ago | Sep 8 – Oct 8 | 30d | -2.81% | 80% | -4.89% |
| Upcomingin 7d | Nov 2 – Nov 12 | 10d | +2.15% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 12d | Nov 7 – Nov 17 | 10d | +2.97% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 25d | Nov 20 – Nov 30 | 10d | +3.08% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 26d | Nov 21 – Dec 1 | 10d | +2.64% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 27d | Nov 22 – Dec 2 | 10d | +2.15% | 90% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore TGT seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
TGT seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy TGT stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, TGT's strongest seasonal window starts in June: Jun 23 to Jul 23, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +5.39%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is TGT's strongest seasonal pattern?
TGT's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Jun 23 – Jul 23 window (30-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +5.39%.
When has TGT historically performed worst?
TGT's weakest recurring window has been Sep 7 to Oct 7, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -3.88%.
How reliable are TGT's seasonal patterns?
Each TGT pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. TGT currently shows 719 recurring windows (474 bullish, 245 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is TGT stock seasonality?
Seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Target Corporation's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where TGT has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.