Timken (TKR) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for TKR — the calendar windows where Timken has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
TKR seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, TKR's strongest seasonal window has been Apr 8 – May 8: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +8.21% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, TKR has historically declined between Jun 8 – Jun 18, falling in 8 of 10 years (average -4.43%).
In total, our analysis finds 717 recurring seasonal windows for Timken — 538 bullish and 179 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Sep 17 – Oct 7, opens in 6 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
TKR's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 47d ago | Jun 26 – Jul 26 | 30d | +3.53% | 80% | +0.06% |
| Completedended 48d ago | Jul 5 – Jul 25 | 20d | +3.72% | 80% | +1.54% |
| Upcomingin 6d | Sep 17 – Oct 7 | 20d | +1.85% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 12d | Sep 23 – Oct 23 | 30d | +1.89% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 13d | Sep 24 – Oct 24 | 30d | +2.22% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 14d | Sep 25 – Oct 15 | 20d | +1.65% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 14d | Sep 25 – Oct 25 | 30d | +2.46% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore TKR seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
TKR seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy TKR stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, TKR's strongest seasonal window starts in April: Apr 8 to May 8, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +8.21%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is TKR's strongest seasonal pattern?
TKR's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Apr 8 – May 8 window (30-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +8.21%.
When has TKR historically performed worst?
TKR's weakest recurring window has been Jun 8 to Jun 18, declining in 8 of 10 years with an average return of -4.43%.
How reliable are TKR's seasonal patterns?
Each TKR pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. TKR currently shows 717 recurring windows (538 bullish, 179 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is TKR stock seasonality?
Seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Timken's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where TKR has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.