Telstra Group (TLS.AX) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for TLS.AX — the calendar windows where Telstra Group has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
TLS.AX seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, TLS.AX's strongest seasonal window has been Jun 26 – Jul 6: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +2.70% across a 10-day hold. On the weak side, TLS.AX has historically declined between Sep 29 – Oct 9, falling in 10 of 10 years (average -1.13%).
In total, our analysis finds 438 recurring seasonal windows for Telstra Group — 292 bullish and 146 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Aug 20 – Sep 19, opens in 24 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
TLS.AX's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 68d ago | Apr 20 – May 20 | 30d | +1.29% | 80% | +2.81% |
| Completedended 72d ago | Apr 16 – May 16 | 30d | +1.70% | 80% | +0.75% |
| Upcomingin 24d | Aug 20 – Sep 19 | 30d | -1.19% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 26d | Aug 22 – Sep 21 | 30d | -2.29% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 27d | Aug 23 – Sep 2 | 10d | -1.68% | 90% | — |
| Upcomingin 27d | Aug 23 – Sep 12 | 20d | -2.03% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 27d | Aug 23 – Sep 22 | 30d | -2.49% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore TLS.AX seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
TLS.AX seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy TLS.AX stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, TLS.AX's strongest seasonal window starts in June: Jun 26 to Jul 6, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +2.70%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is TLS.AX's strongest seasonal pattern?
TLS.AX's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Jun 26 – Jul 6 window (10-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +2.70%.
When has TLS.AX historically performed worst?
TLS.AX's weakest recurring window has been Sep 29 to Oct 9, declining in 10 of 10 years with an average return of -1.13%.
How reliable are TLS.AX's seasonal patterns?
Each TLS.AX pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. TLS.AX currently shows 438 recurring windows (292 bullish, 146 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is TLS.AX stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Telstra Group's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where TLS.AX has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.