Tompkins Financial Corporation (TMP) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for TMP — the calendar windows where Tompkins Financial Corporation has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
TMP seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, TMP's strongest seasonal window has been Oct 24 – Nov 23: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +9.42% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, TMP has historically declined between Mar 18 – Apr 7, falling in 10 of 10 years (average -5.15%).
In total, our analysis finds 700 recurring seasonal windows for Tompkins Financial Corporation — 397 bullish and 303 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Sep 22 – Oct 22, opens in 11 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
TMP's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 28d ago | Jul 15 – Aug 14 | 30d | +3.35% | 80% | +9.68% |
| Completedended 32d ago | Jul 31 – Aug 10 | 10d | -2.13% | 80% | -1.64% |
| Upcomingin 11d | Sep 22 – Oct 22 | 30d | +1.74% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 12d | Sep 23 – Oct 23 | 30d | +1.36% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 13d | Sep 24 – Oct 24 | 30d | +1.91% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 15d | Sep 26 – Oct 26 | 30d | +3.28% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 16d | Sep 27 – Oct 7 | 10d | +1.73% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore TMP seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
TMP seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy TMP stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, TMP's strongest seasonal window starts in October: Oct 24 to Nov 23, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +9.42%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is TMP's strongest seasonal pattern?
TMP's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Oct 24 – Nov 23 window (30-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +9.42%.
When has TMP historically performed worst?
TMP's weakest recurring window has been Mar 18 to Apr 7, declining in 10 of 10 years with an average return of -5.15%.
How reliable are TMP's seasonal patterns?
Each TMP pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. TMP currently shows 700 recurring windows (397 bullish, 303 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is TMP stock seasonality?
Seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Tompkins Financial Corporation's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where TMP has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.